Looking to the Future
Monday, January 25th, 2010All month we’ve been talking about new technologies for learning and teaching. But, particularly in the world of technology, what’s new today will be out of date sooner than we want to admit. So I thought I’d use my last post on new technology to talk about what’s coming down the pike in the future.
New Media Consortium and Educase recently released the 2010 Horizon Report, which describes technologies likely to be adopted near, medium and long term for learning and teaching. Here’s an overview of their predictions:
One to Two Years
- Mobile Computing
- Open content
Two to Three Years
- Electronic Books
- Simple Augmented Reality
Four to Five Years
- Gesture-based computing
- Visual Data analysis
Learning Circuits Blog big question for January is around Predictions and Plans for 2010 . There are some favorites here, including Tony Karrer, Jay Cross, Clark Quinn and many others.
I’ve got some predictions about the future, too.
Informal learning will continue to be important for organizations. As people (otherwise known as learners or employees) get more used to having questions answered by facebook or twitter or whatever other social networks they are a part of, they will begin to look to those networks for answers at work. Corporations may get behind this, or they may try to block it, but they will not be able to stop it.
Technology will continue to make just-in-time learning easier and easier. More than once in the past month I’ve been sitting somewhere away from my computer when a question came up in conversation and I answered on my mobile phone. That’s another skill people will use in their personal life first. For example, the first websites I bookmarked on my smart phone when I got it were local movie theaters, so I could be at dinner and answer the question “what’s starting about the time we’ll be done eating.”
Performance metrics become more important than ever. The economic world continues to be a scary place, making the ability to prove your value to an organization more important than ever. Proving the value of training hasn’t gotten any easier – in large part because it rarely happens in an isolated vacuum. Finding a way to measure what Jay Cross calls “time to performance” is critical.
The tools will keep getting cooler. Finding ways to use them appropriately will also continue to be critical. As Jen suggested in her recent post, we have to be careful not to suggest thing just because they are cool, lest we lose credibility in the eyes of our business partners.
A good system for knowing what information is available may be the most important tool of all. Great content is useless unless your learners can find it when they need it. Development can’t stop when a course is launched – you have to think through how people will get to it.
What predictions do you have about the future of technology in our business?


